Yields on 10-year UK government bonds – a gauge of the real rate of public borrowing – were on course on Wednesday for their biggest monthly rise since September 1986 after rising to 2.78%. With pressure mounting on the incoming prime minister to address the Treasury’s worsening economic outlook, some analysts predicted the yield would rise before the end of the year to at least 3%. It comes as Rishi Sunak said there were growing risks of financial markets losing faith in the UK economy amid soaring inflation and rising levels of government debt, in an attack on the tax and spending plans of his Conservative rival Liz Truss. About a third of all UK loans have interest rates linked to inflation, making them more expensive to finance in a period of rising prices. Truss, the front-runner in the race to succeed Boris Johnson, has been criticized by opposition parties for proposing £50bn of tax cuts that will boost the incomes of rich and poor households and profitable companies next year. Mr Sunak said he was “struggling to see” how sweeping tax cuts “add up” to support families with the cost of living crisis. Using an interview with the Financial Times, he warned that it would be “complacent and irresponsible” to ignore the risk of a loss of confidence in Britain’s financial markets. “We have more debt linked to inflation at the margin than any other G7 economy – basically more than double,” he said. The pressure on the government’s borrowing position comes as European and US bond yields also rise, with the 10-year US Treasury already at 3.11%. But while this rise in Washington’s borrowing costs has failed to dent confidence in the long-term outlook for the world’s biggest economy, keeping the dollar close to record highs, the pound has fallen sharply to levels seen after the vote on Brexit six years ago. Sterling has fallen 5% against the dollar to $1.20 and 3% against the euro this month in response to clear signs that Britain’s economy will suffer more than industrial rivals in the face of rising gas and oil prices. electricity and the weakening of private sector activity. The prospect of rising borrowing costs when Bank of England policymakers meet to set interest rates in September, even as the economy enters a prolonged recession, also contributed to sterling’s worst month since late 2016 against the dollar and worst against the dollar. euros from mid-2021. Speeches by central bankers at the annual Jackson Hole conference in the US last week raised concerns among financial market investors that interest rates will need to rise further to quell inflationary pressures, despite forecasts of a recession in most advanced economies. Azad Zangana, senior European economist at investment manager Schroders, said: “There has been a definitive regime change, leading us into a new era. More experienced investors may see this as a return to more normal times, similar to the period before the global financial crisis in 2008. Subscribe to Business Today Get ready for the business day – we’ll point you to all the business news and analysis you need every morning Privacy Notice: Newsletters may contain information about charities, online advertising and content sponsored by external parties. For more information, see our Privacy Policy. We use Google reCaptcha to protect our website and Google’s Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply. “However, that remains to be seen. It could be that the stagflation – a period of persistently high inflation combined with high unemployment and stagnant demand – that occurred in the late 1970s and early 1980s may be the most appropriate comparison.” Financial markets are pricing in a 40% chance the Bank will raise interest rates by 0.75 percentage points to 2.5% next month, which would be the biggest single increase in borrowing costs since 1989. Investors expect rates they could reach 4.25% by the middle of the year. Consumer price inflation in Britain hit 10.1% for the first time in 40 years in July and the Bank predicted it would top 13% in October, when regulated household energy prices are expected to rise by 80%. Goldman Sachs predicted on Monday that British inflation could hit 22% early next year if gas prices remain close to current levels. The Bank and many other forecasters expect higher inflation to push the UK economy into a long recession later this year. An Office for National Statistics assessment of the impact on inflation of government rebates on household energy bills found that they could not be seen as reducing inflation. Analysts at Bloomberg had estimated that a deflationary verdict would have saved the British government up to 14 billion pounds in the cost of financing index-linked government bonds.
title: “Uk 10 Year Borrowing Costs See Biggest Monthly Rise Since 1986 Gilded Klmat” ShowToc: true date: “2022-11-20” author: “Mary Stradley”
Yields on 10-year UK government bonds – a gauge of the real rate of public borrowing – were on course on Wednesday for their biggest monthly rise since September 1986 after rising to 2.78%. With pressure mounting on the incoming prime minister to address the Treasury’s worsening economic outlook, some analysts predicted the yield would rise before the end of the year to at least 3%. It comes as Rishi Sunak said there were growing risks of financial markets losing faith in the UK economy amid soaring inflation and rising levels of government debt, in an attack on the tax and spending plans of his Conservative rival Liz Truss. About a third of all UK loans have interest rates linked to inflation, making them more expensive to finance in a period of rising prices. Truss, the front-runner in the race to succeed Boris Johnson, has been criticized by opposition parties for proposing £50bn of tax cuts that will boost the incomes of rich and poor households and profitable companies next year. Mr Sunak said he was “struggling to see” how sweeping tax cuts “add up” to support families with the cost of living crisis. Using an interview with the Financial Times, he warned that it would be “complacent and irresponsible” to ignore the risk of a loss of confidence in Britain’s financial markets. “We have more debt linked to inflation at the margin than any other G7 economy – basically more than double,” he said. The pressure on the government’s borrowing position comes as European and US bond yields also rise, with the 10-year US Treasury already at 3.11%. But while this rise in Washington’s borrowing costs has failed to dent confidence in the long-term outlook for the world’s biggest economy, keeping the dollar close to record highs, the pound has fallen sharply to levels seen after the vote on Brexit six years ago. Sterling has fallen 5% against the dollar to $1.20 and 3% against the euro this month in response to clear signs that Britain’s economy will suffer more than industrial rivals in the face of rising gas and oil prices. electricity and the weakening of private sector activity. The prospect of rising borrowing costs when Bank of England policymakers meet to set interest rates in September, even as the economy enters a prolonged recession, also contributed to sterling’s worst month since late 2016 against the dollar and worst against the dollar. euros from mid-2021. Speeches by central bankers at the annual Jackson Hole conference in the US last week raised concerns among financial market investors that interest rates will need to rise further to quell inflationary pressures, despite forecasts of a recession in most advanced economies. Azad Zangana, senior European economist at investment manager Schroders, said: “There has been a definitive regime change, leading us into a new era. More experienced investors may see this as a return to more normal times, similar to the period before the global financial crisis in 2008. Subscribe to Business Today Get ready for the business day – we’ll point you to all the business news and analysis you need every morning Privacy Notice: Newsletters may contain information about charities, online advertising and content sponsored by external parties. For more information, see our Privacy Policy. We use Google reCaptcha to protect our website and Google’s Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply. “However, that remains to be seen. It could be that the stagflation – a period of persistently high inflation combined with high unemployment and stagnant demand – that occurred in the late 1970s and early 1980s may be the most appropriate comparison.” Financial markets are pricing in a 40% chance the Bank will raise interest rates by 0.75 percentage points to 2.5% next month, which would be the biggest single increase in borrowing costs since 1989. Investors expect rates they could reach 4.25% by the middle of the year. Consumer price inflation in Britain hit 10.1% for the first time in 40 years in July and the Bank predicted it would top 13% in October, when regulated household energy prices are expected to rise by 80%. Goldman Sachs predicted on Monday that British inflation could hit 22% early next year if gas prices remain close to current levels. The Bank and many other forecasters expect higher inflation to push the UK economy into a long recession later this year. An Office for National Statistics assessment of the impact on inflation of government rebates on household energy bills found that they could not be seen as reducing inflation. Analysts at Bloomberg had estimated that a deflationary verdict would have saved the British government up to 14 billion pounds in the cost of financing index-linked government bonds.
title: “Uk 10 Year Borrowing Costs See Biggest Monthly Rise Since 1986 Gilded Klmat” ShowToc: true date: “2022-11-24” author: “Cheryl Preston”
Yields on 10-year UK government bonds – a gauge of the real rate of public borrowing – were on course on Wednesday for their biggest monthly rise since September 1986 after rising to 2.78%. With pressure mounting on the incoming prime minister to address the Treasury’s worsening economic outlook, some analysts predicted the yield would rise before the end of the year to at least 3%. It comes as Rishi Sunak said there were growing risks of financial markets losing faith in the UK economy amid soaring inflation and rising levels of government debt, in an attack on the tax and spending plans of his Conservative rival Liz Truss. About a third of all UK loans have interest rates linked to inflation, making them more expensive to finance in a period of rising prices. Truss, the front-runner in the race to succeed Boris Johnson, has been criticized by opposition parties for proposing £50bn of tax cuts that will boost the incomes of rich and poor households and profitable companies next year. Mr Sunak said he was “struggling to see” how sweeping tax cuts “add up” to support families with the cost of living crisis. Using an interview with the Financial Times, he warned that it would be “complacent and irresponsible” to ignore the risk of a loss of confidence in Britain’s financial markets. “We have more debt linked to inflation at the margin than any other G7 economy – basically more than double,” he said. The pressure on the government’s borrowing position comes as European and US bond yields also rise, with the 10-year US Treasury already at 3.11%. But while this rise in Washington’s borrowing costs has failed to dent confidence in the long-term outlook for the world’s biggest economy, keeping the dollar close to record highs, the pound has fallen sharply to levels seen after the vote on Brexit six years ago. Sterling has fallen 5% against the dollar to $1.20 and 3% against the euro this month in response to clear signs that Britain’s economy will suffer more than industrial rivals in the face of rising gas and oil prices. electricity and the weakening of private sector activity. The prospect of rising borrowing costs when Bank of England policymakers meet to set interest rates in September, even as the economy enters a prolonged recession, also contributed to sterling’s worst month since late 2016 against the dollar and worst against the dollar. euros from mid-2021. Speeches by central bankers at the annual Jackson Hole conference in the US last week raised concerns among financial market investors that interest rates will need to rise further to quell inflationary pressures, despite forecasts of a recession in most advanced economies. Azad Zangana, senior European economist at investment manager Schroders, said: “There has been a definitive regime change, leading us into a new era. More experienced investors may see this as a return to more normal times, similar to the period before the global financial crisis in 2008. Subscribe to Business Today Get ready for the business day – we’ll point you to all the business news and analysis you need every morning Privacy Notice: Newsletters may contain information about charities, online advertising and content sponsored by external parties. For more information, see our Privacy Policy. We use Google reCaptcha to protect our website and Google’s Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply. “However, that remains to be seen. It could be that the stagflation – a period of persistently high inflation combined with high unemployment and stagnant demand – that occurred in the late 1970s and early 1980s may be the most appropriate comparison.” Financial markets are pricing in a 40% chance the Bank will raise interest rates by 0.75 percentage points to 2.5% next month, which would be the biggest single increase in borrowing costs since 1989. Investors expect rates they could reach 4.25% by the middle of the year. Consumer price inflation in Britain hit 10.1% for the first time in 40 years in July and the Bank predicted it would top 13% in October, when regulated household energy prices are expected to rise by 80%. Goldman Sachs predicted on Monday that British inflation could hit 22% early next year if gas prices remain close to current levels. The Bank and many other forecasters expect higher inflation to push the UK economy into a long recession later this year. An Office for National Statistics assessment of the impact on inflation of government rebates on household energy bills found that they could not be seen as reducing inflation. Analysts at Bloomberg had estimated that a deflationary verdict would have saved the British government up to 14 billion pounds in the cost of financing index-linked government bonds.
title: “Uk 10 Year Borrowing Costs See Biggest Monthly Rise Since 1986 Gilded Klmat” ShowToc: true date: “2022-11-17” author: “Tina Calkins”
Yields on 10-year UK government bonds – a gauge of the real rate of public borrowing – were on course on Wednesday for their biggest monthly rise since September 1986 after rising to 2.78%. With pressure mounting on the incoming prime minister to address the Treasury’s worsening economic outlook, some analysts predicted the yield would rise before the end of the year to at least 3%. It comes as Rishi Sunak said there were growing risks of financial markets losing faith in the UK economy amid soaring inflation and rising levels of government debt, in an attack on the tax and spending plans of his Conservative rival Liz Truss. About a third of all UK loans have interest rates linked to inflation, making them more expensive to finance in a period of rising prices. Truss, the front-runner in the race to succeed Boris Johnson, has been criticized by opposition parties for proposing £50bn of tax cuts that will boost the incomes of rich and poor households and profitable companies next year. Mr Sunak said he was “struggling to see” how sweeping tax cuts “add up” to support families with the cost of living crisis. Using an interview with the Financial Times, he warned that it would be “complacent and irresponsible” to ignore the risk of a loss of confidence in Britain’s financial markets. “We have more debt linked to inflation at the margin than any other G7 economy – basically more than double,” he said. The pressure on the government’s borrowing position comes as European and US bond yields also rise, with the 10-year US Treasury already at 3.11%. But while this rise in Washington’s borrowing costs has failed to dent confidence in the long-term outlook for the world’s biggest economy, keeping the dollar close to record highs, the pound has fallen sharply to levels seen after the vote on Brexit six years ago. Sterling has fallen 5% against the dollar to $1.20 and 3% against the euro this month in response to clear signs that Britain’s economy will suffer more than industrial rivals in the face of rising gas and oil prices. electricity and the weakening of private sector activity. The prospect of rising borrowing costs when Bank of England policymakers meet to set interest rates in September, even as the economy enters a prolonged recession, also contributed to sterling’s worst month since late 2016 against the dollar and worst against the dollar. euros from mid-2021. Speeches by central bankers at the annual Jackson Hole conference in the US last week raised concerns among financial market investors that interest rates will need to rise further to quell inflationary pressures, despite forecasts of a recession in most advanced economies. Azad Zangana, senior European economist at investment manager Schroders, said: “There has been a definitive regime change, leading us into a new era. More experienced investors may see this as a return to more normal times, similar to the period before the global financial crisis in 2008. Subscribe to Business Today Get ready for the business day – we’ll point you to all the business news and analysis you need every morning Privacy Notice: Newsletters may contain information about charities, online advertising and content sponsored by external parties. For more information, see our Privacy Policy. We use Google reCaptcha to protect our website and Google’s Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply. “However, that remains to be seen. It could be that the stagflation – a period of persistently high inflation combined with high unemployment and stagnant demand – that occurred in the late 1970s and early 1980s may be the most appropriate comparison.” Financial markets are pricing in a 40% chance the Bank will raise interest rates by 0.75 percentage points to 2.5% next month, which would be the biggest single increase in borrowing costs since 1989. Investors expect rates they could reach 4.25% by the middle of the year. Consumer price inflation in Britain hit 10.1% for the first time in 40 years in July and the Bank predicted it would top 13% in October, when regulated household energy prices are expected to rise by 80%. Goldman Sachs predicted on Monday that British inflation could hit 22% early next year if gas prices remain close to current levels. The Bank and many other forecasters expect higher inflation to push the UK economy into a long recession later this year. An Office for National Statistics assessment of the impact on inflation of government rebates on household energy bills found that they could not be seen as reducing inflation. Analysts at Bloomberg had estimated that a deflationary verdict would have saved the British government up to 14 billion pounds in the cost of financing index-linked government bonds.